NFL Predictions & Picks
Model predictions for every game • Picks • 2026-27 Season
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> Our NFL prediction model runs every game of the week, outputting moneyline win probability, spread cover lean, and over/under direction across three model versions. V1 ML has been above 61% in every season since 2019 and reached 69.4% in 2024 -- great for Survivor Pools. V2 and V3 apply tighter thresholds with fewer total selections. Full records going back to 2019 are published on the historical records page. These are research tools -- use them alongside injury reports, weather data, and line movement before finalizing any plays.
NFL 2025-26 Season Complete
47-38 | +100.5u
vs last season: +55.3u improvement ↑
Season begins October 2026
CFL 2025-26 Season Complete
47-38 | +100.5u
vs last season: +55.3u improvement ↑
Season begins October 2026
Season: 12-8 | +4.50u
Today's Picks • Apr 17
No picks posted yet for today
No results yet
LAST NIGHT: 1-3 • -2.17u
BETTING RECORD
1-3 | -2.17u
TEAM PICKS RECORDS
Today's Picks • Apr 17
No picks posted yet for today
MODEL PERFORMANCE
Today's Picks • Apr 17
No picks posted yet for today
MODEL PERFORMANCE
How The NFL Model Works
The model compares each team's average historical market line to this week's posted number. When the spread or moneyline implies a probability that doesn't match the historical signal, that's the edge. V1 covers the broadest set of games; V2 and V3 apply progressively tighter confidence filters.
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NFL is a low-volume market -- one game per team per week -- which means each play carries more weight than in an 82-game NBA season. The model accounts for that: signal quality matters more than selection count in a 272-game annual slate.
Seven Seasons Of NFL Records
V1 ML season by season: 61.1% (2019), 63.2% (2020), 64% (2021), 67.3% (2022) 69.4% (2024), 65.1% (2025). The spread market is tougher -- most years run 49-52%, though 52% is profitable, and this is typical among all the sports models.
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The full breakdown including V2, V3, Fave ATS, dog ATS and totals is on the historical records page. Two additional beta model tiers are planned for the 2026-27 NFL season the same architecture launchimg for the WNBA in 2026.