MLB Predictions & Picks
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Model predictions for every game • Picks • 2026 Season
> Our MLB prediction model has been running every game since 2019 -- seven consecutive season of data, all logged and publicly available. The model compares each team's average historical line to tonight's posted odds to identify where the implied market probability looks mispriced. It doesn't predict outcomes; it finds edges. V1 covers the broadest selection of games; V2 applies tighter thresholds for high conviction plays at lower volume. Use these outputs as your starting point, then layer in the latest injury news, line movement and other factors before placing a bet.
NFL 2025-26 Season Complete
47-38 | +100.5u
vs last season: +55.3u improvement ↑
Season begins October 2026
CFL 2025-26 Season Complete
47-38 | +100.5u
vs last season: +55.3u improvement ↑
Season begins October 2026
Season: 12-8 | +4.50u
Today's Picks • Apr 17
No picks posted yet for today
No results yet
LAST NIGHT: 1-3 • -2.17u
BETTING RECORD
1-3 | -2.17u
TEAM PICKS RECORDS
Today's Picks • Apr 17
No picks posted yet for today
MODEL PERFORMANCE
Today's Picks • Apr 17
No picks posted yet for today
MODEL PERFORMANCE
Updated Apr 5, 7:12 am
What "Predictions" Actually Means Here
These are model outputs -- not picks. Every game on tonight's board gets assess across ML win probability, spread cover lean, and over/under direction. Our MLB picks are the filtered layer: games form this table where the signal is sharp, the context supports it, and the line hasn't already moved us. You can compare both views -- full model output vs. curated selection to build your own research process.
The Dog ATS Signal -- Seven Seasons Runnings
One pattern has shown up in every full season of data since 2019: MLB underdogs cover the spread at rates the market consistently undervalues. V1 dog ATS by year: 61.8% (2019), 57.7% (2020 -- Covid season), 57.9% (2021), 57.2% (2022), 56.9% (2023), 57.9% (2024), 62.2% (2025).
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The model doesn't force this -- it keeps finding it because the market keeps mispricing dogs. If you're using these predictions as a research tool, the dog ATS column is worth your attention first.
Seven Seasons Of Results -- All Published
The historical records page shows every season from 2019 through the current year: V1 and V2 side-by-side, ML through totals. 2022 V1 ML hit 56.9%. 2024 improved to 57.1%. 2025 V1 spread ran at 58.7%.
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The model isn't perfect -- some totals years have been flat, and the fave ATS signal has been weak across most seasons. What we claim is that the full record is there to verify, the overall trend is upward, and we show the hard years alongside the strong ones as the models continue to learn and improve.