SPORTSBETTINGPIX
EVERY PICK
EVERY SPORT
EVERY DAY
Eight sports. Three model tiers. Complete transparency -- every pick logged before tip-off, puck drop, first pitch or kickoff. Every result tracked publicly. The data speaks for itself.
DAILY FREE PICKS, EVERY SPORT
One free pick per active sport, every day -- hand selected from the model's highest-conviction signals. With MLB underway, that's 4 daily free picks across NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and MLB. Posted before tip-off, puck drop or first pitch. tracked publicly. No sign-up required.
MODEL PERFORMANCE
THE NUMBERS DON'T LIE
Season records across all sports -- tracked from the first pick, updated daily. Full historical records available.
THE MODEL
BUILT ON 7+ YEARS OF DATA
Not a hunch. Not a hot streak. Seven years of building, refining, and tracking -- a systematic approach to identifying when the market is pricing a game wrong.
01
HISTORICAL EDGE CALCULATION
Every game scenario -- fave at home, dog spread, over/under -- is mapped against thousands of historical matchups to calculate the true win rate for that situation.
03
THREE MODEL TIERS
Each sport runs through independent tiers (except MLB + NHL): broad patterns, refined scenarios, and precision filters. When all three agree, that alignment is meaningful.
02
MARKET COMPARISON
Today's posted line is compared against the historical expectation. The gap between the two is the edge. the wider the gap, the stronger the signal.
04
TRANSPARENT TRACKING
Every pick is logged before tip-off with the bet type, odds, and units. Results are entered the next morning. Nothing adjusted retroactively. Ever.
PREDICTIONS
FULL SLATE PREDICTIONS. EVERY GAME
Unlike picks -- which filter for edge -- predictions cover every single game across all active sports. A research tool for serious bettors who want to see the full picture to help with their handicapping.
BETTING REPORTS
RESEARCH TOOLS FOR SERIOUS BETTORS
Data reports built to give you an edge on specific markets. Updated daily throughout the season. New reports added regularly.
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NRFI Trends & Odds
Today's 1st inning edge analysis -- team and pitcher NRFI% cross-referenced with live odds.
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Probable Pitchers
Today and tomorrow's starters with full 2025 stats -- ERA, K/9, home/away splits, NRFI record.
👨⚖️
Umpire Betting Stats
Full 2025 season stats for every MLB home plate umpire -- home win%, runs, K/9, NRFI%
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UNDERDOG BETTING REPORT
Team and pitcher underdog records, profit tracking, day-of-week trends, and 1st inning dog edge.
WHY SBP
THE PROMISE WE KEEP
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COMPLETE TRANSPARENCY
Every pick is logged with game, bet type, odds and units before games begin. The record shows the good years and the bad ones -- all of it, in plainview
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YEARS OF REFINEMENT
This isn't a weekend project. The models have been running and improving for 7+ years -- since March 2019, through profitable seasons and losing ones. Each iteration builds on real historical data not backtested theory
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ALWAYS BUILDING
New sports, new reports, new models. The underdog betting report, NRFI trends, umpire stats -- all built from scratch in the 2025-26 offseason. More tools are coming. The roadmap is active, not an empty promise.
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EV+ IS THE STANDARD
Every pick surfaces because the model calculates a positive expected value opportunity -- not because it feels right. The approach is systematic. A single bad night means nothing. The sample size does.
WHAT'S COMING
THE ROADMAP
Where the product is headed -- live, in development, and on the horizon.
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MLB PICKS & PREDICTIONS
Opening Day 2026 -- full season coverage live
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MLB UNDERDOG BETTING REPORT
Team, pitcher, day-of-week trends + 1st inning dog edge
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RISP / LIVE BETTING REPORT
Runners in scoring position situational stats for in-game betting.
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DOG OF THE DAY
Model's best underdog play of the day across all active sports
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WNBA SEASON COVERAGE
Picks, predictions and model tracking -- live for 2026 season
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MLB TRENDS
Team, pitcher and batter ongoing trends for various situations
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CFL SEASON COVERAGE
Opening Day 2026 -- full season coverage live
WHAT WE ARE
A SPORTS BETTING ANALYTICS PROJECT -- BUILT IN PUBLIC
SportsBettingPix is a data-driven sports betting analytics project with a few core principles: publish every pick before the game, track every result, and show everything. No cherry-picked wins or success stories. No adjusted records. The full picture, always available. Eight sports, seven years of data, three model tiers per sport -- all pointed at the same goal: finding situations where the market is systematically wrong.
THE EDGE MODEL
EV+ BETTING -- WHAT IT MEANS AND WHY IT WORKS
Positive expected value (EV+) means that over a large enough sample, the picks should return more than they cost -- accounting for losses along the way. No model wins every night. What matters is the long-term record: consistent unit growth across hundreds of picks, tracked transparently across Fave Spreads, Dog Spreads, Moneylines, and Totals. The right approach is flat unit sizing, patience, and a full-season sample before drawing conclusions.
FREE SPORTS PICKS
DAILY FREE PICKS ACROSS NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAAB & MORE
One free pick per sport is published every day -- hand-selected from the model's highest conviction signals across all active sports. It's posted before tip-off, puck drop, first pitch, or kickoff -- logged with full transparency, and tracked publicly. No subscription needed. The free pick is and will always remain free. More comprehensive access to the full picks slate, premium reports, and deeper model outputs is on the roadmap as the product continues to grow.